How long do you think World of Tanks will last?

as long as idiots keep buying gold which of course they do

Well I was thinking more along the lines of the forums as my circle, lol. But that's what I'm saying. I think the playerbase is bigger than that. I'll have to see if I can find the thread you're referring to.

With the hard on they have for reskins (maps and tanks) that just screams that they don't want to invest a lot into the game like they used too. I'm not sure what the numbers are now but when I quit there were 80k playing 100 battles per 28 days (using their hall of fame and Xbox only players), and that was down from 140k at its peak.
The game may be around for longer than 2 years that some have given it (I doubt it though) but I can gaurentee you that the player base will full of the worst players, by that I mean the ones who don't understand the game, trolls and the uber fanboys (Soviet and such) and to be honest who wants to play with them?
I also stuggle to understand the difference in prices between WoTc premiums and WT premiums as well, I can get 1000 gold for £10 and buy 4 premium tanks/planes with it (low tier).

The game could be awesome, but the Devs have no clue on how to make it a success. I'd actually be interested to see the numbers in a few months now that War Thunder is free on Xbox, and when the WoWsL launches.

I'm not going to go over there and search for the thread, but a few months ago, I ran an analysis based on player number trends, benchmarking vs. other FTP type games over the past 6-8 years, and estimated revenue models and operating costs based on industry research. Yes, I'm a nerd. But I also do this kind of stuff on occasion in my professional life, so it wasn't that hard. Granted, I don't do it for this industry, but rather focus in manufacturing and related industries.

My crude analysis (crude because a lot of data was scrubbed or unavailable due to a lot of companies being private) showed about 1-1.5 years of life left, assuming that the population trend continued, and / or no extraordinary measures were taken by WG to dramatically change either the revenue model or player population / support.. By middle of next year, latest, there will be a tipping point to maintain cost-neutral operating conditions.

Of course, the shitbird WG dick suckers all nay-sayed me, called me all sorts of edgy hater names, etc. I even got a few PMs from kids that were butthurt as fuck and / or don't understand business modeling.

But I still stand by my analysis. Based on the information I had available to me back in the early summer (I think that's when I did it, or maybe late spring).

EDIT to add - this does not take into account additional external / industry risks.  For example, competition in the same space, global econ trends, etc.

Makes you wonder if the pending release of warships legends will take a large portion of the remaining players from tanks and if it's coming to console is anticipation of tanks demise or heavy player loss.

I played one battle of warships in test and have since asked to drop. I still haven't gotten a response from anyone on that. I think there's going to be draw for some, but I doubt that game will have as much population and not from anything wrong with it. I honestly don't see it ever becoming as popular as World of Tanks has as a free to play game. And those who've already been around Wargaming for any length of time may be extra wary. 

The game is a train wreck.

I feel like a chair on the deck of the Titanic, and sitting on me is a musician playing the last notes as this gargantuan goes down.

Jokes on them; i'm a wooden chair. I'll float...

..float away to a tropical island and start my new console game with black jack and hookers.

On a serious note. Low server pop, barely disguised incompetence by the WoT Console management (updates, bugs, crew skills not working, not knowing what the hell they're talking about Aka Type 5 Japanese Medium) and this sudden rush to churn out loot boxes: won't help.

All the old dregs are left at the company, all the bright sparks have left. The company itself gets terrible reviews by it's employees that have worked there.

My estimate, *licks finger, holds to the wind*, about 1 to 2 years max, and Year 2 is going to be a horrible wasteland.

Edit: ^ kind of a sh#$ post I made, I'm interested in the game, I support those that do play it. I fart around in Warstories now. But I'm kind of a broken reed with WoT. I do 2 or 3 pub matches, and feel really jaded. So yes, 1 to 2 full years for this game. I hope for many that it gets better and lasts longer

They had a small update this morning. I launched it to update and then got a message about a minute later saying, 'for some reason, World of Tanks is taking too long to start'. I thought that message was hilarious.